ICMS Mathematics for Humanity · Arba Minch University

The next landslide is a maths problem.

Before our two-week research school, we're opening three questions to the community. Post your best idea, discuss others' proposals, and back the ones worth developing. We invite the top three to present at Arba Minch.

Closes 31 October 2026
Open to mathematicians & STEM students
Reward present live & online
01 Pick a question

Choose one of the three below and post your idea — a method, a sketch, or a critique.

02 Discuss and upvote

Reply to others, reply to those replies, and back the ideas you'd most want built.

03 Top three present

We invite the three highest-backed ideas to share at the research school.

QUESTION 3

From a probability to a decision

A probability of a debris flow is not a decision. How can decision frameworks, utility functions, and cost-sensitive warning thresholds balance false alarm penalties against catastrophic missed events in community early-warning systems?

Ideas on the board 0 ideas
No ideas here yet.

Be the first to stake a claim on this question using the form on the right.

Main Organizers and Coordinators

Dr.Teshome Bayleyegn
Dr.Teshome Bayleyegn

Arba Minch University

Prof. Ivo D. Dinov
Prof. Ivo D. Dinov

University of Michigan, USA

Dr. Simachew Endale
Dr. Simachew Endale

LexisNexis

Dr. Walelign Tewabe
Dr. Walelign Tewabe

AIMS Ric

Dr. Surafel Luleseged
Dr. Surafel Luleseged

AASTU, Ethiopia

Prof. Ovidiu Bagdasar
Prof. Ovidiu Bagdasar

University of Derby, UK